May 2014 High Alert Trends & Sector Report

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“Welcome to the May 2014 High Alert Trends & Sector Report, expanding on dominant social themes that spell opportunity for investors. In this issue… Cybersecurity Trend: A Growing Calibration of Military Opportunities; Gold Trend: The Business Cycle Has Not Been Suspended;  Organic Trend: More Competition, More Healthy Offerings;  Our monthly ‘silly’ trend focuses on alternative marriage; Cannabis Trend: End of Prohibition Is Not Just for Cannabis Anymore.”

http://www.thedailybell.com/trends-and-sector-reports/article/?id=35294&seourl=As-World-Moves-Toward-Ending-Drug-Prohibition-Vida-Cannabis-Is-at-the-Leading-Edge

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Developers Turn Former Office Buildings Into High-End Apartments

“A major realignment [is] taking place in cities across the U.S. as landlords repurpose their buildings from spaces where people work to spaces where they sleep. In the process, the traditional economic relationship between residential and commercial real estate is turning upside down.  At the end of 2013, the U.S. apartment vacancy rate stood at 4.1%—the lowest since the end of the dot-com boom in the early 2000s, and below its 5.7% average rate since 1980. Meanwhile, the office vacancy rate was 16.7%—only a nudge down from the 17.6% post-economic crisis high reached in 2010 and well above its average of 14.9% since 1980.”

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303626804579506073419741570

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Yellen: How High Is Up?

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“Yellen seems to be setting the table for continued monetization not industrialization. The Fed under Yellen, as under Bernanke, is concerned mainly with the ‘monetary economy’ because that benefits globalist strategies. A healthy ‘normal’ economy helps working class people. A monetized economy boosts stock markets, upscale real estate, high-end luxury goods, speculative investments, etc. From my point of view, this is no coincidence and it’s one reason High Alert continues to present our ‘Wall Street Party’ meme.  A slow economy awash in currency that is gradually trickled into stock and bond markets is an ‘investor’s’ economy.”

http://www.thedailybell.com/editorials/35268/Anthony-Wile-Yellen-How-High-Is-Up/

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Yellen Concerned Fed Models Fail to Predict Price Moves

“Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is concerned that the standard models central banks use to forecast inflation may be broken.  Behind her disquiet: the failure of the models to foresee the path of prices in the U.S. during the last recession and its aftermath and in Japan during its deflationary period from 1998 to 2012. U.S. inflation has been higher than the simulations suggested, while Japanese price declines proved more persistent.  Yellen alluded to her concerns in a speech last week, saying the Fed has to ‘watch carefully’ to see if inflation picks up as the central bank projects — and hopes — during the next few years.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-25/yellen-concerned-fed-model-fails-to-predict-price-moves.html

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Doug French: The Market Is Rigged

“In the end, the controversy surrounding high-frequency trading is likely much ado about nothing. For one thing, the industry peaked five years ago, pulling in $5 billion in profits. In 2012, it pulled in $1 billion. That might sound like a lot, but JPMorgan Chase made $5 billion just last quarter. As far as influencing markets and costing the average person money, HFT doesn’t compare to the Fed’s quantitative easing and zero interest rate policy.  A more sound currency, whether metallic or digital, would spread a healthier culture: one not so obsessed with speculation, wealth, material goods, and nanoseconds.”

http://www.fee.org/the_freeman/detail/the-market-is-rigged

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What’s the greatest deception of our time?

“I can assure you it wasn’t because of better access to information than our competitors. Nor were we smarter than they were. The real answer was contained in one four-letter word —bias.  To this day, the other rating agencies are paid huge fees by the companies for the ratings; their ratings are literally bought and paid for by the companies they rate.  These conflicts and bias in the ratings business are no trivial matter. To make money in today’s investment world — and to avoid unexpected losses — you must understand them. And you must know how to sidestep them.  I have decided to dedicate a three-part series to the subject, dedicating today’s to one of four ratings fiascos of modern history.”

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/whats-the-greatest-deception-of-our-time-60961

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Wendy McElroy: The Most Influential Man You Haven’t Heard Of

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“‘Steyer hosted a recent fundraiser at his San Francisco home that netted the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee $400,000 and where Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) and the six other Democratic senators in attendance openly discussed plans for …[ the] talkathon, according to reports.’ In other words, the speechathon was planned at the billionaire’s home in Reid’s presence. The uber-influencial Reid is the same Democratic Senator who lambasted the billionaire Koch brothers for their donations to Republican causes and campaigns.  Apparently, Reid wants only the Senate to be up for sale, and only to a Democratic buyer.”

http://www.thedailybell.com/editorials/35284/Wendy-McElroy-The-Most-Influential-Man-You-Havent-Heard-Of/

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Bill Bonner: Here’s Proof That Wealthy Elites Control Washington

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“We had no proof. Just an observation. But it looks to us as though government always begins and ends as a tool for those who control it.  It is not the product of a ‘social contract.’ It is not an expression of the ‘general will.’ It is not the ‘price we pay for civilization.’ It is not ‘captured by wealthy special interests.’  On the contrary, it is as blunt and stupid as a crowbar. It is used by the elite to pry wealth, status and power away from everyone else.  Few victims of the public school system believed us, but now cometh a study from Princeton and Northwestern universities proving we were right.”

http://www.bonnerandpartners.com/heres-proof-that-wealthy-elites-control-washington/

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Oligarchy in the 21st Century … Get Used to It?

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“Alan Greenspan no doubt would have answered in a way that allowed for multiple interpretations.  But Yellen took the question with little equivocation. We can see that Yellen is being cautious, even as she is granting the possibility that the US is an oligarchy. Sanders has an agenda, but Yellen is certainly not about to discount it outright. That this question came up at all is the result of a Princeton study on the subject. A TalkingPoints post back in April reported on the study, which asks ‘who really rules the US.’ The study concludes that in the past few decades America’s political system has evolved from democracy to oligarchy.”

http://www.thedailybell.com/news-analysis/35289/Oligarchy-in-the-21st-Century–Get-Used-to-It/

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NSA and Stocks: Paranoia Outstrips the Meme

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“The NSA’s comprehensive effort to create ‘dragnet’ software aimed at investor data could give it the power to manipulate major stock markets comprehensively. That’s the charge over at alternative media website Infowars, in an explosive article that was posted at the popular Drudge Report. It sounds plausible, as well. If the NSA has software that can ‘mine’ FINRA data, the possibilities for market mischief rise dramatically.  Our bet would be that such a resource would be used in the near term to drive markets higher. But in the long term, the kind of reckless disregard for people’s privacy that the NSA continues to show is fairly destructive to elite control.”

http://www.thedailybell.com/news-analysis/35285/NSA-and-Stocks-Paranoia-Outstrips-the-Meme/

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