John Hussman: On Governance

“The problem our nation faces is a serious one. We have now paired a massive speculative bubble with an errant pin that has every prospect of creating disruption. A steep financial retreat was already baked in the cake prior to the election. My concern is that having reached this precipice, there are few policies that have the capacity to make the consequences substantially better, but many that could make the outcomes substantially worse.”

Read more: https://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc170130.htm

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This is a coup: the Homeland Security takeover of US elections

“On Friday, the traditional day of the week for quietly releasing big news that will hopefully be ignored by the public—and also obscured by the Fort Lauderdale Airport shooting—the chief of Homeland Security announced that his office will be taking over US elections.  If you can’t see the coup in progress, you need to keep looking until the message comes through.”

Read more: https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2017/01/08/this-is-a-coup-the-homeland-security-takeover-of-us-elections/

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Republicans, now in majority, turn to supporting $1 trillion budget deficit

“In a dramatic reversal, many members of the hard-line House Freedom Caucus said Thursday they are prepared later this month to support a budget measure that would explode the deficit and increase the public debt to more than $29.1 trillion by 2026, figures contained in the budget resolution itself.  [Rand Paul’s] floor speech attacking the budget measure for making no attempts at deficit reduction — it projects a $9 trillion increase in the debt by 2026 — was preempted by statements from Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.), Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah), and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), pledging to vote for the resolution anyway.”

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/conservatives-ready-to-support-1-trillion-hole-in-the-budget/2017/01/05/76d4bf34-d391-11e6-a783-cd3fa950f2fd_story.html

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Three ridiculous ways Congress plans to Keep America Safe Again

“Another gem is section 1224, which provides authorization to arm Syrian rebels with state-of-the-art weapons from the US military.  I’m not talking about small arms and ammunition. This is the heavy-duty stuff.  Apparently Congress didn’t learn its lesson when a bunch of the weapons they gave to the Iraqi military conspicuously ended up in the hands of ISIS.  Nor did they learn their lesson back in 2010 when it was found that the DEA had completely lost track of the thousands of weapons they supplied to Mexican cartels.  But don’t worry, the law provides plenty of safeguards.”

Read more: https://www.sovereignman.com/trends/three-ridiculous-ways-congress-plans-to-keep-america-safe-again-20610/

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Despite all-time highs, many investors are cashing out of stock mutual funds

“The latest data from fund-industry group ICI shows domestic stock funds suffered a net outflow of $7.4 billion in the week ended Aug. 3. Since the week ended July 6 — which was the week before the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index hit its first of eight record highs — fund investors have yanked a net $37.4 billion out of long-term mutual funds that invest in American companies.  As has been the case in recent years, money flowed into bond funds, despite the fact that yields on most fixed-income assets, such as U.S. government bonds, high-yield corporate bonds and other income-producing investments, are at or near record lows.”

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2016/08/11/many-cashing-out-stock-mutual-funds/88546132/

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First Italy, Now Portuguese Banks “Unexpectedly” Need A Taxpayer Bailout

“Portuguese banks, already undercapitalised and loaded with bad debt, are bracing for even more heavy losses from Lisbon’s so far unsuccessful attempts to sell Novo Banco.  Estimates of the potential bill facing banks, which finance the resolution fund that bailed out Novo Banco in 2014, range from €2.9bn to €3.9bn. Some bankers are even doubtful that the rescued lender will attract any acceptable offers, leading to its possible break-up or liquidation.  In a recent report, Barclays estimated that Portuguese lenders could need up to €7.5bn to resolve a ‘systemic banking crisis’ that was bringing the country under ‘close market scrutiny’.”

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-24/first-italy-now-portuguese-banks-unexpectedly-need-taxpayer-bailout

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Party like it’s 1999! Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq all hit new highs

“It’s the first time all three major market gauges have set new closing marks on the same day since 1999 — specifically, New Year’s Eve of that year.  Shares of Macy’s soared  17.1% after the department store retailer posted better-than-expected quarterly profit and sales and said it plans to close 100 stories, or about 15% of its total stores.   In economic news , the Labor Department reported that the number of Americans filing for first-time jobless claims fell 1,000 to 266,000, which ‘points to healthy labor market conditions across the U.S.,’ according to Barclays.  Oil prices on the U.S. market also rebounded off lows for the day, and jumped $1.65, or 4%, to $43.37 a barrel.”

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2016/08/11/stocks-dow–sp500-thursday-wall-street/88557406/

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Bank Crisis Arrives: €29B Bremen Landesbank On The Verge Of Failure

“Germany’s Handelsblatt writes that ‘shipping loans have brought Bremer LB into distress and the bank can not survive without government help, but a direct capital injection from Lower Saxony now looks unlikely.’  The punchline, and where the narrative veers dramatically from the smooth sailing scenario presented last month by the FT, is that according to Lower Saxony President Stephen Weil, a capital increase by his state and Bremen for the ailing bank is currently not realistic. ‘The classic method, namely when partners provide the necessary capital, does not seem to work,’ the Prime Minister said to the ‘Weser-Kurier’.”

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-07/europes-bank-crisis-arrives-germany-%E2%82%AC29-billion-bremen-landesbank-verge-failure

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Bancopalypse 2.0 Is Bigger

“Meanwhile in Italy, nearly the entire Italian banking system is rapidly sliding into insolvency.  Italian banks are sitting on over 360 billion euros in bad loans right now and are in desperate need of a massive bailout.  IMF calculations show that Italian banks’ capital levels are among the lowest in the world, just ahead of Bangladesh.  Spanish banks have been scrambling to raise billions in capital to cover persistent losses that still haven’t healed from the last crisis.  In Greece, over 35% of all loans in the banking system are classified as ‘non-performing.  The ratio of non-performing loans has actually been increasing for several years since the country’s supposed bailout.”

http://www.valuewalk.com/2016/07/deutsche-bank-scare/

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Deutsche Bank’s Chief Economist Calls For €150 Billion Bank Bailout

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“David Folkerts-Landau, the chief economist of Deutsche Bank, has called for a multi-billion dollar bailout for European banks.  Speaking to Germany’s Welt am Sonntag, the economist said European institutions should get fresh capital for a recapitalization following a similar bailout in the US. What he didn’t say is that the US bailout took place nearly a decade ago, in the meantime Europe’s financial sector was supposed to be fixed courtesy of ‘prudent’ fiscal and monetary policy. It wasn’t.  As Landau says the US helped its banks with $475 billion dollars, and such a program is now needed in Europe, especially for Italian banks.”

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-10/deutsche-banks-chief-economist-calls-%E2%82%AC150-billion-bailout-european-banks

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